With the New Hampshire primary being held on Tuesday, election watchers are wondering whether a bad Biden showing in the nation’s first primary will sink his now flailing candidacy.

A new national Quinnipiac poll shows socialist Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders enjoying an 8-point lead over Joe Biden in national Democratic support, with Sanders garnering 25% support and 17% support for Biden. The poll shows that Sanders has jumped 4% in his level of support of national Democrats, while Biden continues his slide downwards, losing 9% support since Quinnipiac’s last national poll.

Former NYC Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s massive advertisement campaign appears to be paying dividends, with his national support rising 7 points to 15%, with much of that rise possibly coming from former Biden supporters who see Bloomberg as a candidate who has a better chance at beating President Trump in 2020.

Heading into Tuesday’s primary in New Hampshire as the candidate to beat, Sanders’ rise in the polls will likely continue, as more Democratic voters jump on the bandwagon, assuming that he will be the nominee. Everyone likes backing a winner, and national politics are no different.

Joe Biden, on the other hand, is simply trying to tread water, hoping not to have such a bad showing as to scare off national Democrats from supporting him. After his dismal fourth-place performance in the chaotic Iowa caucuses, Biden’s candidacy may not be able to survive another pathetic showing, analysts say.

To further trouble Joe Biden, his level of support among black Democrats appears to be absolutely plummeting. A Quinnipiac poll in late January showed Biden with 49% support among black Democrats, with Sanders trailing with 17% and Bloomberg with 7%. Now, Biden has 27% support, followed closely by Bloomberg with 22%, and 19% for Sanders. Those are disturbing numbers for a Biden campaign that has struggled to whip up enthusiasm for the veep’s candidacy, and could ultimately spell doom for him in the race.

While the race remains fluid and there is still a long way to go until one Democratic candidate prevails over the others, trends seem to show that Barack Obama’s vice president’s candidacy is in hot water, while two pseudo-Democrats, one extreme left in Bernie Sanders, and the other more moderate and a former Republican in Michael Bloomberg, are the two candidates to beat on the national stage moving forward.